Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.325948 0.379060 0.437664 0.507066 0.586955 0.675979 0.782655
2025-04-27 0.249500 0.324103 0.415336 0.534829 0.686918 0.873727 1.120298
2025-05-04 0.204549 0.287621 0.396940 0.550707 0.760739 1.036842 1.426533
2025-05-11 0.171322 0.257168 0.377148 0.556048 0.814843 1.174242 1.709601
2025-05-18 0.144805 0.230176 0.355941 0.553227 0.853164 1.289874 1.971222
2025-05-25 0.123244 0.206348 0.334737 0.545563 0.880696 1.389710 2.217293
2025-06-01 0.106868 0.187682 0.318103 0.541404 0.911074 1.494484 2.479066
2025-06-08 0.090944 0.167122 0.295243 0.523429 0.915882 1.557898 2.679807
2025-06-15 0.086381 0.165250 0.302837 0.556560 1.007835 1.769707 3.142279
2025-06-22 0.074620 0.148684 0.282747 0.538795 1.009829 1.830545 3.354872
2025-06-29 0.064816 0.134292 0.264572 0.521865 1.010622 1.888097 3.565531
2025-07-06 0.056816 0.122214 0.249068 0.507735 1.014361 1.950157 3.788684
2025-07-13 0.051913 0.115843 0.244021 0.513668 1.057735 2.090803 4.174881
2025-07-20 0.049679 0.114764 0.249382 0.540987 1.145969 2.324683 4.761985
2025-07-27 0.046547 0.111265 0.249293 0.557010 1.213080 2.523953 5.300618
2025-08-03 0.042823 0.105880 0.244497 0.562408 1.258624 2.684489 5.776746
2025-08-10 0.038878 0.099384 0.236414 0.559556 1.286069 2.810355 6.192986
2025-08-17 0.035034 0.092554 0.226699 0.551808 1.301814 2.913008 6.569734
2025-08-24 0.031865 0.086909 0.218973 0.547604 1.324778 3.032680 6.993350
2025-08-31 0.028200 0.079446 0.205993 0.529431 1.313745 3.077258 7.256619
2025-09-07 0.027837 0.080594 0.214061 0.562926 1.426830 3.406807 8.184859
2025-09-14 0.024761 0.073957 0.201899 0.544966 1.415002 3.452729 8.471926
2025-09-21 0.022068 0.067970 0.190624 0.527849 1.403248 3.497411 8.759708